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International Energy Agency
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The energy future which we are creating is unsustainable. If we continue as before, the energy supply to meet the needs of the world economy over the next twenty-five years is too vulnerable to failure arising from under-investment, environmental catastrophe or sudden supply interruption. This has been the central message from the World Energy Outlook for the past several years; and in 2005 at Gleneagles and 2006 at St. Petersburg, G8 leaders endorsed that judgement, making a political commitment to change. They asked the IEA to map a new energy future. This edition of the Outlook responds to that challenge. It starts, like previous editions, with a Reference Scenario projecting energy demand and supply if present policies were to continue. The second part of this book consists in the analysis of alternative policies and their effects in terms of energy security and carbon dioxyde emissions. For policy-makers, the Alternative Policy Scenario identifies the priority sectors for action and the key instruments and shows what can be achieved, along the road to 2030.