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European Commission, DG Energy and Transport
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The European Commission’s Directorate-General for Energy and Transport has released an update to its "Trends to 2030" series, which explores projections to 2030 associated with energy demand, transformation, imports, and production by fuel and sector. The report also examines main energy and transport variables as well as energy-related CO2 emissions for all 27 Member States. The Baseline scenario gives an update of the previous trend scenarios published in its 2003 and 2005 updates and takes into account the high energy import price environment of recent years, sustained economic growth and new policies and measures implemented in the Member States. The results were derived with the PRIMES model by a consortium led by the National Technical University of Athens (E3MLab), supported by some more specialised models. The Baseline scenario for the EU and each of its 27 Member States simulates current trends and policies as implemented in the Member States by the end of 2006. While informing about the development of policy relevant indicators, such as the renewables shares, the Baseline scenario does not assume that targets, as set out in Directives, will be necessarily met. All numbers included in this report, except otherwise stated, refer to European Union of 27 Member States.
